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Your Pre Market Brief for 12/15/2020

WARNING: It is up to you to judge the accuracy and veracity of the below before trading. I take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information in this thread.

Your Pre Market Brief for Tuesday December 15th 2020

Brought to you by MoonGangCapital
You can subscribe to the daily 4:00 AM Pre Market Brief on The Twitter Link Here . Alerts in the tweets will direct you to the daily 4:00 AM Pre Market Brief in this sub.
Other Useful Resources: The Ultimate Quick Resource For the Amateur Trader.
Published 2:33 AM EST / Updated as of 4:00 AM EST
-----------------------------------------------

Stock Futures:

Monday 12/14/2020 News and Markets Recap:

Tuesday December 15th 2020 Economic Calendar (All times are Eastern)

Overnight News Heading into Tuesday December 15th 2020

(News Yet to be Traded 8:00 PM - 4:00 AM EST)
It is up to you to judge the accuracy and veracity of the below before trading. I take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information in this thread.

End of Day and After Hours News Heading into Monday December 15th 2020

(News Traded 4:00 PM - 8:00 PM EST)
It is up to you to judge the accuracy and veracity of the below before trading. I take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information in this thread.

Possible Dip Buying Opportunities in the near future (Other suggestions appreciated):

Suggested Dip Trading Strategy

Offering News:

Commodities:

Other News & Analysis:

Upcoming Earnings:

COVID-19 Stats and News:

Macro Considerations:

Other

-----------------------------------------------
Subscribe to This Brief and the daily 4:00 AM Pre Market Brief on The Twitter Link Here . Alerts in the tweets will direct you to the daily brief in this sub
Other Useful Resources: Stock Market Tools, Resources, Advice, & Tutorials
WARNING: It is up to you to judge the accuracy and veracity of the above before trading. I take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information in this thread.
submitted by Cicero1982 to MoonGangCapital [link] [comments]

Crazy prediction: COVID-19 will seriously hurt the US standing in the Global Economy

So we know that the American response to COVID-19 has been bad. Competing for the Darwin awards bad. The only first world countries that have a higher per-capita infection rate are Spain, Belgium and Iceland, all of which have a significantly fewer new cases per day today compared to their peak infection rate.
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 (Click on the countries to the left to see how many new cases are reported compared to the peak)
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/world/coronavirus-maps.html (Change view to per capita cases)
Evidence of the continued spread in the USA can be seen in the rising of cases outside of NY.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/05/us/coronavirus-deaths-cases-united-states.html
This also takes into account the testing rate, since new deaths are dropping in NY, yet the rest of the countries total deaths remains nearly constant.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/new-york-coronavirus-cases.html (scroll down to reported deaths).
vs
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html (scroll down to reported deaths).
Since there is a lag in data, about 1-2 weeks for new detected cases and 4 weeks for deaths, it means that the non-NY social distancing measures between ~4/10-4/24 were insufficient to control the spread of the virus. With the loosening of state restrictions, it means the R0 number today will be higher than it was in the two weeks of 4/10-4/24, meaning there will be more new infections per day outside of NYC in 1-2 weeks then there are today.
So, what does this mean? The US may "flatten" the curve, but not control the spread of the virus. In other words, the virus will continue to spread for the foreseeable future in an uncontrolled fashion (with an R0 value very close to 1 meaning daily new cases/death counts remain mostly the same). That doesn't necessarily mean there will be another spike in infections (although that is possible).
Why is this? Well, here are the key differences between the USA and (most) other first world countries
  1. Lack national contact tracing program
  2. Insufficient testing - especially for rural communities
  3. Insufficient PPE for hospitals and essential workers
  4. Lack of national quarantine plan
  5. A desire by a minority (~5-10% of the population - anti-vaxxers and the like) to ignore most safety recommendations (masks, no visiting family, etc) - and no repercussions if safety recommendations are ignored
  6. Reopening Super-spreader locations (Churches, factories, and salons) where spread can continue even with
  7. A refusal by top leadership (Trump Administration) to coordinate an international response - Reduces the ability of countries to coordinate responses such as short term travel bans to hotspots, share PPE, share ventilators, share information, etc.
  8. A refusal of top leadership (Trump Administration) to coordinate an national response - Reduces state-by-state differences and leverages the best scientists to create a baseline plan for the country.
  9. Growing partisanship about the response creating a lack of a response (mostly noticeable in mask wearing). This increases the spread as many anti-vaxxer types see wearing a mask/social distancing as a "liberal" issue rather than a "national" issue, meaning the virus spreads more.
There are a lot of big economies (France, Germany, China, Japan, South Korea, Italy, Australia, Switzerland, Spain, Netherlands, and Turkey) that have reduced the number of new infections to controllable levels.
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 (Click on the country in the left pane and click on the daily cases in the bottom right window).
Since the new infection rate is low, that means if they determine a person is infected, they can perform contact tracing on that person, determine who they were in close contact with, and then quarantine everybody who they were in close contact with. This can reduce the number of new infections by a significant amount (I'm guessing reducing the likelihood of another infection by 75% - bringing the R0 value down significantly below 1) without social distancing efforts. There is no indication that the US will have any of this type of capability for at least 3 months. Probably closer to 6. The issue being a lack of national leadership. States may implement this, but many slow states such as Florida, Georgia, North Dakota, Kansas may not have the resources or political will to get something like this going quickly.
Okay, so what does all this mean for businesses and stocks and investments.
If you live in one of these countries where new infection rate are low with contact tracing, you are free to go out and spend money without worrying about getting infected. Higher confidence = higher spending. Additionally, these countries are going to be looking to fully re-open their economies (football games, bars, casinos, etc). With that, they'll be stuck between two options. One, keep their economy open to the US and risk a new outbreak (and thus the economic hit) or close their economy to the US and take the economic hit until the US gets the virus under control. Essentially, a travel ban of people traveling from the US (and other countries that don't have the virus under control - Russia, Canada, UK, etc in that list) could be possible.
Another affect of this, which is more important for us, if the US has an uncontrolled spread of the virus, that means factories will be shut down at random (as an outbreak occurs in a factory) in the US for a period of 3-6 months where other country's factories are humming along. With a reduced demand rate, that creates a huge competitive advantage for other countries to provide reliable supply. That means that buyers of products will look for alternative supplies outside of US. This means that big businesses such as GM, BA, F, GE, etc lose long-term market share to competitors in other countries. This can hit other places such as entertainment where no new US movies are produced, and no US sports are produced.
To me, this points to not just a slow L shaped recovery. It means that the GDP of the USA will be lower in 2021-22 than it was in 2019. Other countries (Japan, China, South Korea) could see a full recovery by the beginning of 2021.
Tell me I'm wrong. I really want to know if I'm completely off base here.
submitted by BS_Is_Annoying to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

Welcome to the B.L.o.K. (Big List of Kelowna)

Tons of posts are asking about this town (mine included), so I decided to go through the /kelowna history and put all the responses in a central place. It can be a guide for visitors and Kelowna newbies in general. All the information has been gathered exclusively from posts here. If you'd like to add anything to the list, or see any errors, reply below and I'll add it to the main post below. (Mods, if this is long-term useful, you can sticky it.)

Activities & Things To Do

Indoor

Outdoor

Barber

Bike Rental

Breweries / Craft Beer

Camping

BC Parks Campgrounds Reserve

Other Camping

Concert Hosts / Weeklies / Promoter Events

Dispensaries

Dog Parks

Festivals & Annual Large Events

Fly Fishing

Food and Restaurants

Asian

Chinese

Dog-friendly

Good for Groups

Indian

Ramen

Thai

Brunch

French

Hamburgers

Italian

Mexican / Comida Latina

Pies

Pizza

Subs / Sandwhiches

Sushi

Tasting Menus

Steakhouse

Vegan & Vegetarian

Not Dedicated Vegan, but a Decent Vegan Selection

Wineries

Wings

Gaming

Gyms

Hiking

Ice Skating

Internet Service Providers

Live Music

Mountain Biking

Nightlife / Clubs

Places to Avoid

Real Estate Agents

Salons

Hair

Nails

Skiing & Snowboarding

Local, within 90 minutes

Within a few hours drive

Helicopter

Cross Country & Nordic

Strippers

Swimming Pools

Taxis / Driver Service

(There's no Uber or Lyft in Kelowna)

Tailor

Tattoos

Theatre

Thrift Stores / Consignment Stores

Veterinarians

Watch Hockey

Wineries

Yoga

submitted by Indy_Pendant to kelowna [link] [comments]

Updated List of things to Do - 2018 Edition

Happy New Year /Detroit! Every day people come to ask "What should I do in the city??" and this updated thread is our chance to tell them. It's been 3+ years since its been updated so a lot has changed. Keeping a similar format to the 2014 and 2011 editions comment below with any suggestion(s) and a short reason why you recommend it.
Everyone's collective picks will be added into the list below and then added to the sidebar. Closed businesses have already been removed, new Museums section now broken out, if you have any adds/deletes/edits to existing list, just shout it out, I'll leave this post as a sticky and open over the next week so all have a chance to contribute. See below:

Entertainment & Attractions

Public Spaces/Parks:
Entertainment Venues:
Seasonal:
Other:

Museums & Exhibits

  • Detroit Institute of Arts Free for Wayne, Oakland, and Macomb county residents.
  • Motown Museum the birthplace of Motown music, located in New Center
  • Henry Ford Museum/Greenfield Village Good for vistors if they have a few hours and transportation.
  • MOCAD Contemporary Art Museum in an amazing raw space, always changing exhibitions and a nice little shop inside. Located on Woodward in Midtown.
  • Michigan Science Center hands-on exhibits, IMAX Dome, Planetarium, mad scientists with liquid nitrogen and lightning. good for kids, located in Midtown.
  • Outdoor Adventure Center located in the newly restored Globe Trading Building.
  • Charles H. Wright Museum of African-American History
  • Tuskegee Airmen Museum
  • African Bead Museum
  • Dossin Great Lakes Museum located on Belle Isle
  • Ford Piquette Plant historic auto production facility and birthplace of the Model T.

Retail & Shopping

  • John K. King Books Downtown; Largest used bookstore in the state, located in an old glove warehouse
  • Pewabic Pottery near Islandview; Detroit original, lots of original ceramic art work to view and purchase
  • Third Man Records Retail store and Vinyl Manufacturing plant, owned/operated by Jack White
  • City Bird Midtown; Handmade goods from local and regional designers
  • People's Records Gratiot in Eastern Market; Internationally renowned treasure trove of rare vinyl, with a focus on Detroit produced stuff
  • Hello Records Corktown; Newer record shop with a great collection of new and old vinyl
  • Pure Detroit Downtown and New Center; Detroit themed t-shirts, magnets, etc.
  • Shinola Flagship Store watches, bikes and leather goods.
  • The Hub A Bicycle shop with a charitable bent and affordable bikes.
  • Avenue of Fashion Located at Livernois and Outer Drive; shopping district off the beaten path
  • Run Detroit Running gear store in Midtown, hosts a welcoming run club every Saturday morning at 8am
  • Paramita Sound Record store in West Village

Places to eat:

  • Coney Islands Lafayette or American, take your pick. Duly's Place in Mexicantown as another OG contender.
  • Supino Pizzeria Eastern Market; Best NY style pizza in the city, delicious fresh ingredients
  • Cass Cafe Restaurant and art gallery in Cass Corridor.
  • Green Dot Stables Grab your saddle, best sliders in the city.
  • Johnny Noodle King one of Detroit's ramen noodle houses
  • The Bronx Midtown. Classic dive bar with an equally classic jukebox and a burger that's out of this world.
  • Sweetwater Tavern Downtown, /Detroit's pick for 'Best Wings in the City'
  • Buddy's Pizza Original Detroit style pizza, well regarded by foodies and chefs.
  • Rock City Eatery on Woodward in Midtown. Cheap drinks and great food.
  • Dutch Girl Donuts Palmer Park. Best donuts in the city, been doing it the same way forever.
  • Mudgies Deli Corktown fresh sandwich shop with patio, recently expanded.
  • Cadieux Cafe Jazz music throughout the week and authentic Featherbowling.
  • Slow's BBQ Corktown. BBQ that put Corktown as a food destination on the map. Check out Slows-To-Go in Midtown if you're looking to skip the wait.
  • The Food Exchange famous for the Big Baby burger
  • Vincente's Great Cuban food. Salsa dancing. 20+ types of tequila
  • Ottava Via Italian joint in Corktown. Great food, laid back atmosphere.
  • Mercury Bar Good food and beer selection and the atmosphere is really cool.
  • Townhouse located Downtown
  • Bucharest Grill Amazing Shawarma and good prices, 3 locations around the city.
  • Scotty Simpson's Northwest side for fish and chips
  • Polish Village Cafe Eat your Polish Grandmother's cooking. A Hamtramck staple.
  • The Whitney Restaurant in a gorgeous historic mansion. Ambience is spectacular, food has gone through down periods. Good spot for an important date night. Don't be surprised to see a marriage proposal.
  • Giovanni's Arguably the best Italian food in the city. Neighborhood is what happens when you zone Heavy Industrial in Sim City, but the food, service and ambience are world-class.
  • London Chop House A famous Detroit restaurant name brought back to life, it's a classic dark-wood, old-school steakhouse. Frank Sinatra and Henry Ford II had tables there. Just opened a cigar bar in the same building for after-dinner lounging.
  • Roast "Iron Chef" Michael Symon's restaurant in the Westin Book Cadillac hotel. Things happen to meat here that you never thought possible.
  • Joe Muer's Seafood Like the London Chop House, a classic name from Detroit restaurant history brought back to life. Located in the ground floor of the GM Renaissance Center, lunch is comprised almost entirely of GM suppliers taking their customers out to lunch, but dinner is another matter.
  • Golden Fleece Greektown. "Best Gyro in town" and other greek specialties.
  • Mexicantown Most authentic Mexican food in the city, can't go wrong: Los Altos, Taqueria Lupitas, Taqueria Nuestra Familia, Taqueria El Rey, or Taqueria Mi Pueblo.
  • ** Takoi** Northern Thai inspired restaurant. James Beard finalist
  • Selden Standard Fine dining, local, small plates. Also great brunch.
  • Wright & Co Fine dining, local, small plates.
  • Republic Fine dining, local, small plates.
  • ima Corktown, Udon noodles.
  • Flower's of Vietnam Vietnamese restaurant run by a Lebanese chef in an old Mexicantown coney. Only in Detroit.
  • Polonia Restaurant Home style Polish and Eastern European food, located right next to Polish Village cafe in Hamtramck.
  • Apparatus Room Fine restaurant & bar in the Detroit Foundation Hotel near Cobo Center.
  • People's Bakery One of Southwest's finest local shops.

Brunch Spots

  • Cliff Bells Foxtown. Bottomless mimosas and bloody Mary's and great selection of French and Soul Food inspired dishes
  • Hudson Cafe Downtown. Red velvet pancakes, graham cracker-crusted French toast, and Voodoo Eggs Benedict
  • Seva Midtown. great Brunch for Vegan's and Vegetarian's- Small but good beewine selection
  • Brooklyn Street Local Corktown. banana pancakes with caramelized walnuts, an inevitably delicious quiche-of-the-day, and of course, the Hangover Special, and some damn good Poutine!
  • La Dolce Vita North Detroit. smooth jazz, salmon hash, and the shrimp Benedict make for a fabulous brunch experience
  • The Dime Store Downtown. a great selection of Omelets, Benedicts, Sandwiches, and Hash (from Executive Chef Josh, who has spent 2 decades in award winning restaraunts in Chicago, NYC, and A2) and of course, BOOZE! (Their Duck Rueben is out of this world)
  • Foran's Grand Trunk Pub Downtown. Great meal options throughout the day but their brunch is great (May I recommend their Corktown sandwich or the Lobster Benedict) with a great local beer selection to boot
  • Rose's Fine Foods Rivertown. Homesick for mom's cooking? This place has incredible baked goods and delicious sandwiches that make you feel right at home
  • The Clique Breakfast spot on Jefferson in Rivertown area
  • Honest Johns Midtown. Good all around menu, drink list and Chicken & Waffles.
  • Detroit Institute of Bagels Traditional bagels plus soups & sandwiches in an airy, industrial space with counter seating.

Places to drink:

Breweries:
  • Batch Brewing Co. Corktown small batch brewery with 15+ beers on tap and Louisiana-style food.
  • Detroit Beer Co. Great beer as well as great food. The Hair of the Dog burger is fantastic.
  • Atwater Detroit brewery near the Riverfront
  • Brew Detroit Contract brewing facility with a great open space and their own brews. Across the park from Batch. The Loaded Die hosts Tuesday boardgame nights here.
  • Eastern Market Brewing Company The large pink elephant mural is hard to miss.
  • Founders taproom Needs no introduction
  • Motor City Brewing Works Midtown; Microbrewery with delicious beer and uniquely-topped pizzas, rooftop seating in the Summer
  • Jolly Pumpkin Brewery Tap room specializing in Sour Beer and Ciders
Bars:
  • Motor City Wine located in Corktown.
  • SugarHouse Carefully crafted cocktails in a hunting lodge sharing a wall with Slow's. Hells yea.
  • Woodbridge Pub
  • Cafe D'Mongo's a unique and eclectic "speakeasy." reasonably priced and strong cocktails, live music every night (Fri & Sat only)
  • Cliff Bells a solid jazz club right downtown (could be under entertainment as well)
  • Dakota Inn Rathskeller a German underground beer hall that transports you straight to Europe, featuring German food, music, and beer. Especially popular during Oktoberfest (mid-September to end of October).
  • Jacoby's Biergarten good selection of draft beer, solid German food, and a huge international beer selection
  • Jolly Ol' Timers North Cass Corridor. If they're open, you won't find a bar full of more interesting people.
  • Old Miami Midtown. A Veterans bar, During the summer, the back yard is the best place to drink in the city.
  • Foran's Grand Trunk Pub Downtown; great selection of local Michigan beers, with decent food to accompany it
  • Northern Lights Lounge New Center bar with a great patio and decent food.
  • Two Way Inn One of the oldest bars in the city
  • The Skip Popular alley bar in The Belt
  • Ready Player One Barcarde
  • Checker BaOffworld Arcade Burger bar & Barcade near Campus Martius
Coffeeshops:
  • Astro Coffee a popular cafe in Corktown
  • Great Lakes Coffee Roasting Co. Chill coffee bar with beer, wine and some food.
  • Socre Tea A tea shop/cafe in midtown. Tucked away on Garfield and John R. Super quiet and relaxing.
  • Ashe Supply Co. Small-batch java drinks plus pastries, sandwiches and other goods just off Grand Circus Park in Downtown
  • Dessert Oasis Espresso, house-roasted coffee & pastries served in a brick-walled space with artwork & live music. Good window views located Downtown in Capital Park.

Landmarks

  • The Grand Lobbies of Detroit See here: http://imgur.com/a/tqC8i
  • Guardian Building another beautiful example of Art Deco architecture
  • Fisher Building "the worlds largest art project" and a prime example of Detroit's rich Art Deco history
  • The Fist of Joe Louis Woodward/Jefferson Ave
  • Ford Piquette Plant historic auto production facility and birthplace of the Model T.
  • The Spirit of Detroit Woodward/Jefferson Ave.
  • Hart Plaza Found along the Riverwalk; a public space that's home to Movement, Detroit Jazz Fest and other festivals throughout the year.
  • Senator Palmer’s Font Hill Log House and fountain in Palmer Park (when open).
submitted by sixwaystop313 to Detroit [link] [comments]

(4/17) - Tuesday's Pre-Market Stock Movers & News

Good morning traders of the stocks sub! Welcome to Tuesday! Here are your pre-market stock movers & news this morning-

Frontrunning: April 17th

STOCK FUTURES NOW:

(CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)

YESTERDAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP!)

YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

THIS WEEK'S IPO'S:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S IPO'S!)

THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

($NFLX $BAC $GE $LRCX $GS $UNH $IBM $JNJ $CLF $MTB $ABT $MS $ISRG $PGR $CMA $PG $AA $BX $AXP $ASML $MLNX $HON $UAL$FRED $NUE $SLB $PIR $DGX $URI $GSM $CE $CSX $GWW $WM $SEAC $NTRS $PNFP $KEY $WTC $USB $OMC $SKX $TXT $ETFC)
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

($NFLX $GS $UNH $JNJ $PGR $CMA $MLNX $CE $PNFP $NTRS $OMC $SEAC $WTFC $PLD $LAKE $MBWM $FDEF $SFBS)
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

THIS MORNING'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES!)

THIS MORNING'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)

TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK!)

THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING DISCUSSIONS:

  • NFLX
  • GS
  • JNJ
  • UNH
  • DBX
  • MLNX
  • AMD
  • UAL
  • BMY
  • ACIA
  • NOV
  • OMC
  • PEP
  • CISN
  • CE
  • IBM
  • NTRS
  • NVCR
  • RRC
  • CMA
  • DIS
  • CCE
  • CSX
  • KO
  • COG
  • PACW
  • TAP
  • VET
  • MRK

THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

(source: cnbc.com)
UnitedHealth – The health insurer reported adjusted quarterly profit of $3.04 per share, compared to a consensus estimate of $2.89 a share. Revenue also beat forecasts. Quarterly results were helped by strength across all the company's businesses, as well as a lower percentage of premiums paid out for medical benefits. UnitedHealth also raised its full-year earnings outlook.

STOCK SYMBOL: UNH

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Johnson & Johnson – J&J came in 4 cents a share above estimates, with adjusted quarterly profit of $2.06 per share. Revenue also exceeded forecasts, helped by a nearly 20 percent increase in international sales.

STOCK SYMBOL: JNJ

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Goldman Sachs – Goldman reported quarterly profit of $6.95 per share, easily beating the consensus estimate of $4.48 a share. Revenue was well above forecasts, and the investment bank also raised its quarterly dividend.

STOCK SYMBOL: GS

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Netflix – Netflix reported in-line earnings of 64 cents per share for its latest quarter, with the video streaming service's revenue very slightly above estimates. The stock, however, is getting a boost on stronger-than-expected current quarter guidance, and subscriber additions for the prior quarter that exceeded Street forecasts.

STOCK SYMBOL: NFLX

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Roku — Steven Cohen's Point72 Asset Management has taken a 5.1 percent passive stake in the maker of video streaming devices. Roku also announced the addition of ESPN's subscription service ESPN+ to the lineup of channels available on Roku devices.

STOCK SYMBOL: ROKU

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Walt Disney – Disney was upgraded to "hold" from "sell" at Pivotal Research, saying Disney appears best-positioned among video-centric media companies although it continues to see weak fundamentals overall for the industry.

STOCK SYMBOL: DIS

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Coca-Cola, PepsiCo – Goldman Sachs swapped ratings for the two beverage giants, upgrading Coca-Cola to "neutral" from "sell" and doing the opposite for PepsiCo. Goldman based its move on an improving organic growth profile for Coke, as opposed to a softer outlook that it foresees for PepsiCo.

STOCK SYMBOL: KO

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

STOCK SYMBOL: PEP

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Celanese – Celanese reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its latest quarter as well as giving strong current quarter guidance. The maker of technology and specialty materials was helped in part by stronger prices for acid and other materials, especially in the China market.

STOCK SYMBOL: CE

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
General Motors – GM's financially strapped Korea unit may get financial help from state-run lender Korea Development Bank, according to the bank's chairman.

STOCK SYMBOL: GM

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Sanofi – Sanofi is in talks to sell its generic drugs unit to private equity firm Advent International for $2.4 billion. The French drugmaker said it expects the sale to be completed before the end of the year.

STOCK SYMBOL: SNY

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Tesla – Tesla temporarily suspended production of its Model 3 in what the automaker is calling a planned production pause. The suspension is expected to last four to five days.

STOCK SYMBOL: TSLA

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Facebook – Facebook must face a class action lawsuit surrounding its use of facial recognition technology on photos, according to a US District Court judge in San Francisco. Separately, asset management firm's biggest stock fund – the Global Allocation Fund – bought more Facebook shares last month after privacy issues hit the stock's price, according to Reuters.

STOCK SYMBOL: FB

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Wynn Resorts – The hotel and casino operator announced that former CEO Steve Wynn and ex-wife Elaine Wynn have settled a long-running legal dispute. The Wall Street Journal reports that Steve Wynn paid Elaine Wynn an undisclosed amount of money, and both sides said they were pleased that the litigation was behind them.

STOCK SYMBOL: WYNN

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
USG — Germany's Gebr. Knauf sent a letter to the USG board, saying it would go to court if the building materials maker did not respond to its request for information. Knauf, which owns 10.5 percent of USG, wants to buy USG for $5.9 billion – a bid that USG is resisting.

STOCK SYMBOL: USG

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Twitter – Twitter was upgraded to "equal-weight" from "underweight" at Morgan Stanley, which points to several positive factors including improving user growth.

STOCK SYMBOL: TWTR

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Dollar General – JPMorgan Chase upgraded the discount retailer's stock to "overweight" from "neutral," noting an ongoing increase in same-store sales and increasing square footage in a market that the firm feels is a decade away from saturation.

STOCK SYMBOL: DG

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

DISCUSS!

What is on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at stocks?

I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Tuesday, April 17th, 2018! :)

submitted by bigbear0083 to stocks [link] [comments]

FIFA Women's World Cup in Winnipeg - FAQs

I've noticed a lot of repeat questions being asked recently from visitors who are coming to Winnipeg for the FIFA Women's World Cup (June 8-16). Here are the most common questions: I can add to this if anyone has any suggestions.
Where is the stadium?
Investor's Group Field is at the University of Manitoba on the south end of the city.
Where should I stay?
There've been several news stories about how all the hotels in Winnipeg - even the Alt Hotel, which just opened - are booked solid. Sorry.
However, you can try alternatives:
(With suggestions from majikmonkie).
How do I get to the stadium from my hotel?
FIFA put together a guide on transportation options. The first two options are for driving, but I would recommend NOT doing that, especially if you're driving there during afternoon rush hour. Pembina Highway (which is the main route to the stadium from downtown) will probably become a parking lot in the afternoon with all the additional traffic.
However, there are four Park-n-Ride locations:
The Park-n-Ride costs $5 for people over the age of 12. Buses start departing 2 hours before afternoon kickoff. You might want to make a point of catching one of the first couple buses, since Pembina Highway is going to be a nightmare.
A note from werno - DO NOT try parking on the residential streets around the stadium. You will be ticketed and possibly towed.
Beaver Bus and Greyhound will also be operating a downtown hotel shuttle (also $5). Buses start departing 2 hours before afternoon kickoff. You might want to make a point of catching one of the first couple buses, since Pembina Highway is going to be a nightmare. If you're staying downtown, look for a shuttle stop (white circles) near your hotel: https://i.imgur.com/hyFSt9Z.jpg
(With suggestions from majikmonkie).
In not-stadium-specific transit news: Downtown Biz is going to be offering a free trolly to get around downtown. Winnipeg Transit also has free buses that will get you around downtown; #1,2, and 3 are all free all the time. (Thanks to supercantaloupe for the addition.)
I'm coming in from [country]. Do I have to get my money exchanged or will establishments take my US dollars/pounds/pesos/bits?
If you're using your credit card, most places will take a Visa and Mastercard regardless of country of origin. Most credit cards will give you a pretty fair exchange rate. However, you might still want cash for small purchases, bus fares, parking, etc.
Some places might take US dollars, but it will either be at par (which would be a horrible deal for you) or at an unfavourable exchange rate. It's probably a good idea to get your cash exchanged if you plan on carrying cash.
Also, plan on getting handfuls of change back when you pay. Canada has coins for $2 and $1, so after a few transactions you've got a handful of big coins to carry around. Also also, Canada no longer uses the penny, so all cash transactions will be rounded up or down to the nearest $0.05. Debit and credit transactions are still charged to the penny.
(With suggestions from Becau5eRea5on5, kent_eh and tmlrule).
How do I drive to Winnipeg from the US?
(Info via scopar). There are several border crossings between Manitoba and the US, with 3 crossings from Minnesota and 11 from North Dakota. However, all of the border crossings a very small except for the Emerson, MB/Pembina, ND crossing that is at the end of the I-29. This crossing has multiple lanes and is open 24 hours a day. The other border crossings are usually single lanes and have limited hours of operations. You can find information on the border crossings from North Dakota and Minnesota .
US citizens need proof of citizenship to enter Canada: a passport, birth certificate, or citizenship certificate. A passport will make your crossing the least stressful, and will probably make getting back into the US easier as well. The CBSA has information on identification requirements on their website . If you have a criminal record, you may have trouble at the border. This includes a DUI, which will probably prevent you from entering Canada. The US/Canada share access to criminal record databases so they will look it up.
Don't bring firearms or ammo with you. Canada has very different and more restrictive gun laws than the US. There is no constitutional right to bear arms in Canada, so please leave them at home. The CBSA link above has a information on prohibited items. There are also limits on the amount of booze/cigarettes you can bring with you. When crossing the border (both ways), it's always best to be upfront and don't hide anything. If they discover you lied about something, you're more likely to be pulled over and searched. I'd highly suggest doing a search of your car before you hit the road to make sure you don't leave anything unwanted in there.
Where can I get a drink?
(Info via landlubber1976). Legal drinking age is 18. Drinking in public (i.e. outside a restaurant, hotel or private home) isn't recommended and is illegal. We're not Europe. You probably won't get too much hassle, but it might cause someone to call the police on you. Don't drink and drive, please.
Alcohol generally more expensive than the US, by a fair bit.
Most restaurants will be licensed, and some may allow you to bring your own bottle of wine, but unless that bottle means something special to you, it probably isn't worth it after they apply their corkage fee. You can order a bottle of wine with dinner and you can take what you didn't finish home with you. Just make sure it is in the trunk if you're in a car, or at least not accessible.
Is there an official FIFA FanFest in Winnipeg?
Here's the lowdown (thanks to scopar for the info):
Winnipeg Fan Zone
What: Open to the public (free) on June 6 (with a viewing party of Canada’s opening match). Open to FIFA Women’s World Cup™ Winnipeg Stadium ticket-holders on matchdays only.
Where: Winnipeg Stadium (Investors Group Field)
Hours of Operation
What else should we do while we're in Winnipeg?
Well, there's lots to do. Special things happening while you're here:
Anyway, welcome to Winnipeg!
submitted by ataradrac to Winnipeg [link] [comments]

(4/17) - Tuesday's Pre-Market Stock Movers & News

Good morning traders of the StockMarket sub! Welcome to Tuesday! Here are your pre-market stock movers & news this morning-

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Frontrunning: April 17th

STOCK FUTURES NOW:

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YESTERDAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP:

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YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:

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TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

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THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

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THIS WEEK'S IPO'S:

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THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

($NFLX $BAC $GE $LRCX $GS $UNH $IBM $JNJ $CLF $MTB $ABT $MS $ISRG $PGR $CMA $PG $AA $BX $AXP $ASML $MLNX $HON $UAL$FRED $NUE $SLB $PIR $DGX $URI $GSM $CE $CSX $GWW $WM $SEAC $NTRS $PNFP $KEY $WTC $USB $OMC $SKX $TXT $ETFC)
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THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

($NFLX $GS $UNH $JNJ $PGR $CMA $MLNX $CE $PNFP $NTRS $OMC $SEAC $WTFC $PLD $LAKE $MBWM $FDEF $SFBS)
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

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EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

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THIS MORNING'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

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THIS MORNING'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

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TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

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THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING DISCUSSIONS:

  • NFLX
  • GS
  • JNJ
  • UNH
  • DBX
  • MLNX
  • AMD
  • UAL
  • BMY
  • ACIA
  • NOV
  • OMC
  • PEP
  • CISN
  • CE
  • IBM
  • NTRS
  • NVCR
  • RRC
  • CMA
  • DIS
  • CCE
  • CSX
  • KO
  • COG
  • PACW
  • TAP
  • VET
  • MRK

THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

(source: cnbc.com)
UnitedHealth – The health insurer reported adjusted quarterly profit of $3.04 per share, compared to a consensus estimate of $2.89 a share. Revenue also beat forecasts. Quarterly results were helped by strength across all the company's businesses, as well as a lower percentage of premiums paid out for medical benefits. UnitedHealth also raised its full-year earnings outlook.

STOCK SYMBOL: UNH

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Johnson & Johnson – J&J came in 4 cents a share above estimates, with adjusted quarterly profit of $2.06 per share. Revenue also exceeded forecasts, helped by a nearly 20 percent increase in international sales.

STOCK SYMBOL: JNJ

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Goldman Sachs – Goldman reported quarterly profit of $6.95 per share, easily beating the consensus estimate of $4.48 a share. Revenue was well above forecasts, and the investment bank also raised its quarterly dividend.

STOCK SYMBOL: GS

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Netflix – Netflix reported in-line earnings of 64 cents per share for its latest quarter, with the video streaming service's revenue very slightly above estimates. The stock, however, is getting a boost on stronger-than-expected current quarter guidance, and subscriber additions for the prior quarter that exceeded Street forecasts.

STOCK SYMBOL: NFLX

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Roku — Steven Cohen's Point72 Asset Management has taken a 5.1 percent passive stake in the maker of video streaming devices. Roku also announced the addition of ESPN's subscription service ESPN+ to the lineup of channels available on Roku devices.

STOCK SYMBOL: ROKU

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Walt Disney – Disney was upgraded to "hold" from "sell" at Pivotal Research, saying Disney appears best-positioned among video-centric media companies although it continues to see weak fundamentals overall for the industry.

STOCK SYMBOL: DIS

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Coca-Cola, PepsiCo – Goldman Sachs swapped ratings for the two beverage giants, upgrading Coca-Cola to "neutral" from "sell" and doing the opposite for PepsiCo. Goldman based its move on an improving organic growth profile for Coke, as opposed to a softer outlook that it foresees for PepsiCo.

STOCK SYMBOL: KO

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STOCK SYMBOL: PEP

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Celanese – Celanese reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its latest quarter as well as giving strong current quarter guidance. The maker of technology and specialty materials was helped in part by stronger prices for acid and other materials, especially in the China market.

STOCK SYMBOL: CE

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General Motors – GM's financially strapped Korea unit may get financial help from state-run lender Korea Development Bank, according to the bank's chairman.

STOCK SYMBOL: GM

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Sanofi – Sanofi is in talks to sell its generic drugs unit to private equity firm Advent International for $2.4 billion. The French drugmaker said it expects the sale to be completed before the end of the year.

STOCK SYMBOL: SNY

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Tesla – Tesla temporarily suspended production of its Model 3 in what the automaker is calling a planned production pause. The suspension is expected to last four to five days.

STOCK SYMBOL: TSLA

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Facebook – Facebook must face a class action lawsuit surrounding its use of facial recognition technology on photos, according to a US District Court judge in San Francisco. Separately, asset management firm's biggest stock fund – the Global Allocation Fund – bought more Facebook shares last month after privacy issues hit the stock's price, according to Reuters.

STOCK SYMBOL: FB

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Wynn Resorts – The hotel and casino operator announced that former CEO Steve Wynn and ex-wife Elaine Wynn have settled a long-running legal dispute. The Wall Street Journal reports that Steve Wynn paid Elaine Wynn an undisclosed amount of money, and both sides said they were pleased that the litigation was behind them.

STOCK SYMBOL: WYNN

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USG — Germany's Gebr. Knauf sent a letter to the USG board, saying it would go to court if the building materials maker did not respond to its request for information. Knauf, which owns 10.5 percent of USG, wants to buy USG for $5.9 billion – a bid that USG is resisting.

STOCK SYMBOL: USG

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Twitter – Twitter was upgraded to "equal-weight" from "underweight" at Morgan Stanley, which points to several positive factors including improving user growth.

STOCK SYMBOL: TWTR

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Dollar General – JPMorgan Chase upgraded the discount retailer's stock to "overweight" from "neutral," noting an ongoing increase in same-store sales and increasing square footage in a market that the firm feels is a decade away from saturation.

STOCK SYMBOL: DG

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FULL DISCLOSURE:

bigbear0083 has no positions in any stocks mentioned. Reddit, moderators, and the author do not advise making investment decisions based on discussion in these posts. Analysis is not subject to validation and users take action at their own risk. bigbear0083 is an admin at the financial forums Stockaholics.net where this content was originally posted.

DISCUSS!

What is on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at StockMarket?

I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Tuesday, April 17th, 2018! :)

submitted by bigbear0083 to StockMarket [link] [comments]

10 reasons Donald Trump is bad for America. (None of which is "Because he's literally Hitler.") Pt. 1

One of the chief complaints I see when I accidentally stumble into /The_Donald is that all the criticism of Donald Trump boils down to one simple sentiment: Donald Trump is literally Hitler. Now the cynical among us might point out that anyone who says anything negative, or neutral, about God Emperor Trump is unceremoniously /BannedFromTheDonald, thus inhibiting any kind of genuine intellectual discussion regarding any sort of shortcomings that their candidate may suffer from, but that would be victim blaming, and I wouldn't want to trigger any of them. No, despite all evidence to the contrary, /The_Donald is neither a safe space nor a hug box, /The_Donald is simply an internet forum where people who praise Donald Trump can praise Donald Trump, and praise others who praise Donald Trump, and ban individuals who don't praise Donald Trump. The proof is quite clear: Suggest that /The_Donald is a safe space or a hug box and you'll be banned, which is not something that would ever happen in a safe space or a hug box. Now that that's put to bed, we can move forward. I take the contributors of /The_Donald at their word that they would like to see genuine criticism of their candidate, criticism made without resorting to the lowest common denominator argument that "Donald Trump is literally Hitler." It is in this spirit of fairness that I present 10 Reasons to Vote Against Donald Trump. (None of which is that he's literally Hitler.)
Before I begin, though, a word on how to use this post: In an effort to further appease the requests of our friends over at /The_Donald you should know how to copy sections pertinent to your discussion. First you'll need the excellent "Reddit Enhancement Suite". After you've installed RES and restarted your browser, you'll find a new link to "Source" at the bottom of this post. If you click the "Source" link you'll be provided with an unformatted copy of everything here. You can copy any section of the unformatted text and paste it into a Reddit comment box, which will return it to the formatting you see below. I didn't explain that well, so hopefully someone in the comments can do a better job.

#10: Donald Trump supports NSA surveillance on the American People.

On October 26, 2001, President George W. Bush signed into law the "Uniting and Strengthening America by Providing Appropriate Tools Required to Intercept and Obstruct Terrorism Act of 2001," more commonly known as the "USA PATRIOT ACT." Parts of the Patriot Act expired on June 1st, 2015, and were reborn on June 2nd, 2015, with the passage of a new policy, the "Uniting and Strengthening America by Fulfilling Rights and Ending Eavesdropping, Dragnet-collection and Online Monitoring Act," more commonly known as the "USA Freedom Act."
Much can be said about the Patriot Act, certainly far more than I have room to type in this post, but one of the more disturbing allowances made is the ability of the NSA to monitor your cell phone for information such as who you called, when you called them, who has called you, when they called you, and how long you spoke on the phone, all without a Federal warrant. At best this was considered an invasion on the privacy of law abiding American citizens, at worst this bulk data collection was a clear violation of our 4th Amendment protections against "Illegal [warrant-less] search and seizure." One part of the Patriot Act that did not survive the translation into the USA Freedom Act was the legality of NSA bulk data collection without a warrant, under current law the National Security Agency must acquire a Federal warrant if they want to collect your phone records. Certainly this doesn't solve the problem of mass surveillance, but requiring warrants for phone records is a step in the right direction.
On May 22nd, 2015, Donald Trump explained that:
“I support legislation which allows the NSA to hold the bulk meta-data. For oversight, I propose that a court, which is available any time on any day, is created to issue individual rulings on when this meta-data can be accessed.” [Google Cache Source]
Donald Trump suggests that we repeal the one step toward privacy rights that we have made since the passage of the Patriot Act in 2001, and that the NSA should have the ability to collect, maintain, and access the phone records of law abiding American citizens at "any time on any day."
On December 7th, 2015, Donald Trump further clarified:
“Well, I tend to err on the side of security, I must tell you, and I’ve been there for longer than you would think. But, you know, when you have people that are beheading if you’re a Christian and frankly for lots of other reasons, when you have the world looking at us and would like to destroy us as quickly as possible, I err on the side of security, and so that’s the way it is, that’s the way I’ve been, and some people like that, frankly, and some people don’t like that. And I’m not just saying that since Paris, I’m saying for quite some time. I assume when I pick up my telephone people are listening to my conversations anyway, if you want to know the truth. It’s pretty sad commentary, but I err on the side of security,” [Source]
Seeming to imply that the American people should expect, and accept, that when "they pick up their telephone people are listening to their conversations anyway."
Donald Trump went on to add that:
“I think that [restoring the USA Patriot Act] would be fine. As far as I’m concerned, that would be fine,” [Source]
As President, Donald Trump would support the re-authorization of the USA Patriot Act, the re-authorization of NSA bulk data collection, and the ability of the American government to spy on law abiding American citizens, regardless of the protections afforded us by the 4th Amendment to the Constitution. As he stated himself, Donald Trump "tends to err on the side of security" rather than freedom.
So what's the worst that could happen? Worst case scenario: NSA surveillance could be used to target not just terrorists, but law abiding American citizens who are perceived to be agitators or political dissidents. In theory the NSA could be utilized to stymie, if not stop entirely, any individual or group who the President feels is a "threat to national security." This is not a problem limited to Donald Trump, but extends to any President who may feel the need to use, or abuse, the USA Patriot Act.

#9: He's opposed to Net Neutrality.

Net Neutrality is a policy which requires internet service providers, or ISPs, to treat all information on the internet equally. Under Net Neutrality if you pay for 50mbps internet, you get 50mbps internet for every site your visit, regardless of content. YouTube, Netflix, Facebook, and even Reddit, are all subject to the same speed limit: Whatever you're paying for. In the absence of Net Neutrality, ISPs could constrict speeds on certain sites, and charge extra fees to bring those sites up to speed. So say you're a Xfinity subscriber and want to access YouTube, under the Net Neutrality policy a YouTube video would stream in at the full 50mbps that you're paying for, were the policy of Net Neutrality overturned, Comcast could slow down effective speed to YouTube to 50kbps, and require that you pay an extra $4.99 per month to access YouTube at full speed.
Content creators and content hosts generally support Net Neutrality, as it puts all sites and hosts on a relatively even playing field. Industry giants like Netflix don't have to worry about Xfinity artificially hobbling their site, or increasing the actual subscription fee for their users, and smaller startups don't have to worry about their service being killed in the cradle by ISPs who fear the competition. Net Neutrality is a win-win scenario for content creators, content hosts, and consumers alike. The only opponents of Net Neutrality are those who stand to profit from the ability to throttle, and in some cases functionally censor, competitive content. Among the biggest opponents of Net Neutrality are internet giants such as Comcast Xfinity, COX, Time Warner, and Donald Trump.
On November 12th, 2014, Donald Trump tweeted the following:
"Obama’s attack on the internet is another top down power grab. Net neutrality is the Fairness Doctrine. Will target conservative media." [Source]
This is interesting for a couple reasons.
First, nothing about Net Neutrality would allow the United States government in general, nor President Obama in specific, to censor the internet. In fact, Net Neutrality stands as a bulwark against ISPs functionally censoring content by means of severely restricting bandwidth. Imagine there was a website called https://www.ComcastSucks.com, in the absence of Net Neutrality Comcast could theoretically limit the bandwidth available to users trying to access this site to .5bps, functionally preventing any of their users from accessing https://www.ComcastSucks.com. Under the policy of Net Neutrality this sort of practical censorship would be illegal.
Secondly, the Fairness Doctrine was a policy implemented in an effort to ensure that opposing viewpoints were presented during news broadcasts. To give an example: If a news program were hosting an individual claiming that climate change was a hoax perpetrated by the Chinese to undermine American manufacturing, the program would be required to also present the opposing view point that climate change is a real phenomenon with a genuine scientific basis. Wikipedia offers a brief description of the policy:
"The Fairness Doctrine was a policy of the United States Federal Communications Commission (FCC), introduced in 1949, that required the holders of broadcast licenses both to present controversial issues of public importance and to do so in a manner that was—in the Commission's view—honest, equitable, and balanced. The FCC eliminated the Doctrine in 1987, and in August 2011 the FCC formally removed the language that implemented the Doctrine." [Source]
It may be confusing how one could arrive at the conclusion that Net Neutrality, a policy which acts as a strong defense against censorship, could be used to censor conservative media; or in what way Net Neutrality and the Fairness Doctrine is related. Your confusion is justified, but also inconsequential: In this case the "why" is less important than the "what." What matters is that, for whatever reason, Donald Trump is opposed to the policy of Net Neutrality. If he is elected President he could overturn that policy, paving the way for increased consumer fees, decreased competition, and corporate censorship.
So what's the worst that could happen? Worst case scenario: Internet Service Providers would be legally allowed to gouge their customers based upon the internet content that they browse, functionally censor competing or critical websites, and offer preferential treatment to sites that they support or agree with.

#8: Donald Trump wants to make it easier to sue media outlets for libel.

In an effort to stem the tides of frivolous libel suits, the United States Supreme Court decided on March 29th, 1960 in "New York Times Company vs Sullivan" that a plaintiff has to show "actual malice" before press reports can be considered to be defamation and libel. Simply put, actual malice can be defined as "knowledge that the information [in the press report] was false" or that it was published "with reckless disregard of whether it was false or not." In short, in order to sue for libel or defamation, a plaintiff must show that a press organization knowingly or willfully published false information, an intentionally high burden of proof to bear. This burden of proof was implemented to prevent individuals from suing for misprints, unintentional errors, or other frivolous reasons. Consider the case for which this verdict was written:
On March 29, 1960, The New York Times carried a full-page advertisement titled "Heed Their Rising Voices", which solicited funds to defend Martin Luther King, Jr. against an Alabama perjury indictment. The advertisement described actions against civil rights protesters, some of them inaccurately, some of which involved the police force of Montgomery, Alabama. Discrepancies were generally minor. Referring to the Alabama State Police, the advertisement stated: "They have arrested [King] seven times..." However, at that point he had been arrested four times. Although African-American students staged a demonstration on the State Capitol steps, they sang the National Anthem and not My Country, 'Tis of Thee. Although the Montgomery Public Safety commissioner, L. B. Sullivan, was not named in the advertisement, the inaccurate criticism of actions by the police was considered defamatory to Sullivan as well, due to his duty to supervise the police department. [Source]
Although Commissioner Sullivan was not named in the advertisement, and the mistakes outlined above were minor, Sullivan was within his rights to sue the New York Times for libel, and won $500,000 in damages from an Alabama court. Feeling that this decision was unfair, The New York Times Company appealed, and the case ended up before the Supreme Court of the United States, which found in their favor and overturned the verdict. In their decision the Court stated that:
"The First Amendment protects the publication of all statements, even false ones, about the conduct of public officials except when statements are made with actual malice (with knowledge that they are false or in reckless disregard of their truth or falsity)." [Source] [Emphasis mine, ed.]
That's the necessary background. So what are Donald Trump's opinions on the matter? On February 26th, 2016 Donald Trump had this to say:
“One of the things I’m going to do if I win—and I hope we do, and we’re certainly leading—I’m going to open up our libel laws so when they write purposely negative and horrible and false articles, we can sue them and win lots of money, so when the New York Times writes a hit piece, which is a total disgrace, or when the Washington Post, which is there for other reasons, writes a hit piece, we can sue them and win money instead of having no chance of winning because they’re totally protected.” [Source]
Now, it should be noted that Donald Trump already has the right to sue any news organization that writes "purposely ... false articles." So long as Mr. Trump can prove that the publication knowingly or willfully published false information he can sue, he doesn't need to change the libel laws in order to do that. Unfortunately Mr. Trump hasn't explained exactly what he plans to do to make suing news publications easier. The Washington Post attempted to pin down the specifics during a recent interview, but Donald Trump was unable to provide any actual policy proposals. Listen Here: The Post asked Donald Trump about the First Amendment. Repeatedly.
So what could Donald Trump do to open up libel laws? For one thing, as President, he could appoint Supreme Court Justices that would be willing to overturn New York Times Co. vs Sullivan, thus ending the requirement that the plaintiff proves actual malice. This could open a litigious Pandora's Box of sorts, allowing individuals to sue news organizations for the most benign of mistakes, even if the plaintiffs themselves aren't specifically mentioned.
Another question worth pondering is "Why would Donald Trump want to make it easier to sue news publications, especially considering how much free advertising they've provided him since the beginning of his campaign?" I can't pretend to know what is in a person's heart, but if his actions are any indication, his feelings on libel suits might have something to do with how many of them he's filed, and threatened to file, himself:
  • In the 1980s, when Trump he sued another businessman who had the same last name as him. Julius and Edmond Trump were trying to buy a chain of drug stores, and their business was called "The Trump Group." When Donald Trump found out he went on the offensive: Donald Trump’s lawyer, Roy Cohn, demanded that the Trump Group change its name by the following day or they would face consequences. A little while later, Donald Trump sued Julius and Edmond Trump in New York state court, alleging they were nothing but a pair of late-arriving immigrants trying to piggyback on his good name. “Plaintiffs have used the Trump family name for 40 to 50 years in the New York area. More recently, the Trump Organization has come to stand for respectability and success across the United States,” the complaint read. “The defendants are South Africans whose recent entrance in the New York area utilizing the name 'the Trump Group' can only be viewed as a poorly veiled attempt at trading on the goodwill, reputation and financial credibility of the plaintiff.” [Source]
  • In 1984, Trump sued the Chicago Tribune for $500 million after the publication’s architecture critic, Paul Gapp, wrote an item suggesting Chicago’s Sears Tower, then the world’s tallest building, would remain as such, despite Trump’s plan to build a taller structure in downtown Manhattan. Trump claimed the story “virtually torpedoed” his dreams, according to the Associated Press, by depicting his would-be tower as “an atrocious, ugly monstrosity” even though, Trump said, he hadn’t even yet hired an architect or drawn a plan. [Quote source]
  • Trump purchased Eastern Air Lines’s shuttle service in 1988 for $365 million and planned to relaunch it as “Trump Shuttle.” But a problem arose—a different company, Trading and Finance Corp. Ltd., was already using the name. In 1989, Trump sued for the rights to the name. [Quote source]
  • In January 2006, Trump filed a $5 billion lawsuit against author Timothy O'Brien and his publisher for understating Trump's wealth. In his book Trump Nation, O'Brien reported that Trump had estimated his worth at between $150 and $250 million. Trump, who said he had told O'Brien that he was worth between $4 billion and $6 billion, claimed that O'Brien's low estimate had hurt his reputation and cost him specific business deals. Trump's suit was dismissed in July 2009, and his subsequent appeal failed in September 2011. [Quote source] [Original article]
  • Also in 2006, Trump threatened to sue Rosie O’Donnell, then a co-host on The View, after she said he was bankrupt. Trump retaliated in an interview with The Insider, by labeling O’Donnell “disgusting, both inside and out.” He told People “Rosie will rue the words she said. I’ll most likely sue her for making those false statements—and it’ll be fun. Rosie’s a loser. A real loser. I look forward to taking lots of money from my nice fat little Rosie.” [Quote source][Interview source]
  • In 2011, [MSNBC host Lawrence O'Donnel] provoked the mogul's wrath when he accused him of being worth less than $1 billion. "I heard, because his show is unwatchable, that @Lawrence has made many false statements last night about me," Trump tweeted. "Maybe I should sue him?" [Quote source]
  • In February [of 2013], Trump sued comedian Bill Maher who offered, on The Tonight Show, to give Trump $5 million if he could prove that his father was not an orangutan. (The comment was a spoof of Trump's offer to give $5 million to charity if President Obama would release his records and applications for colleges and passports.) Trump dutifully sent Maher a copy of his birth certificate, but the comedian never paid up. "He has not responded, and the reason he hasn't responded is his lawyers probably tell him, 'You've got yourself a problem,' " Trump told Atlantic author William Cohan. Maher later said, on his show, "Donald Trump must learn two things--what a joke is, and what a contract is." [Quote source]
  • In 2014, Trump sued Trump Entertainment Resorts, which he holds a 10 percent stake in, to remove his name from the Trump Taj Mahal and Trump Plaza casinos in Atlantic City, which he said did not live up to his standard of quality. [Quote source]
This list is not exhaustive, LawNewz.com found that "Donald Trump has been named in at least 169 federal lawsuits."
So what's the worst that could happen? Worst case scenario: Individuals, companies, and politicians could use the threat of libel lawsuits as a means to intimidate the free press into silence. Such law suits already exist, referred to as "Strategic lawsuit against public participation," or SLAAP for short, but are largely held in check by the "actual malice requirement" passed in New York Times Co. vs Sullivan.

#7: Donald Trump has advocated for what are legally considered war-crimes.

I know what you're thinking: "I thought this guy was going to give me 10 good reasons not to vote for Donald Trump without saying that 'He's literally Hitler.'" I'm keeping my promise on that.
On December 3rd, 2015 Donald Trump said in a Fox News Interview:
"We're fighting a very politically correct war. The other thing with the terrorists is you have to take out their families, when you get these terrorists, you have to take out their families. They care about their lives, don't kid yourself. When they say they don't care about their lives, you have to take out their families," [Source] [Video link]
Unfortunately for Mr. Trump, intentionally killing innocent men, women, and children is a war-crime, as is defined in Common Article 3 of the Geneva Conventions...
People who are taking no active part in the hostilities "shall in all circumstances be treated humanely… To this end, the following acts are and shall remain prohibited at any time and in any place whatsoever … violence to life and person, in particular murder of all kinds, mutilation, cruel treatment and torture." [[Source]((http://www.cfr.org/human-rights/geneva-conventions/p8778)]
...and Article 51.2.
"The civilian population as such, as well as individual civilians, shall not be the object of attack. Acts or threats of violence the primary purpose of which is to spread terror among the civilian population are prohibited." [Source]
The United States signed the Geneva Conventions in 1955.
Donald Trump also advocates for the use of torture, as he explained at a rally on February 17th, 2016:
“Don’t tell me it doesn’t work — torture works, half these guys [say]: ‘Torture doesn’t work.’ Believe me, it works.”
Vowing at the same event to:
“...bring back a hell of a lot worse than waterboarding. Some people say it’s not actually torture — let’s assume it is, but they asked me the question: ‘What are you going to do on waterboarding?’ Absolutely fine, but we should go much stronger than waterboarding. That’s the way I feel.”
And if torture doesn't work? As Mr. Trump stated in November of 2015:
“If it doesn’t work, they deserve it anyway, for what they’re doing.”
[Source for the above three quotes.]
Torture in general, including waterboarding, is prohibited by the Geneva Convention, as well as the United Nations Convention Against Torture, and has precedent as being prosecuted as a war crime.
So what's the worst that could happen? Worst case scenario: We make a problem that already exists in the Middle East even worse. On September 11th, 2001, 3,000 innocent American men, women, and children were killed in order to send a political message, Donald Trump is proposing that we do the same thing. How did the United States respond? All out warfare for over a decade. Killing innocent civilians would only serve to strengthen the notion that the United States is an enemy that must be destroyed at all costs, and would act as one of the best possible recruiting tools for extremists and terrorists all over the globe. Think of it this way: The worst way to prevent getting stung is to throw rocks at a bee hive.

#6: Donald Trump doesn't believe in climate change, and thinks that "what they [the EPA] do is a disgrace."

On November 6th, 2012, Donald Trump posted the following tweet to his twitter account:
"The concept of global warming was created by and for the Chinese in order to make U.S. manufacturing non-competitive." [Source]
January 29th, 2014:
"Snowing in Texas and Louisiana, record setting freezing temperatures throughout the country and beyond. Global warming is an expensive hoax!" [Source]
Also on January 29th, 2014:
"Give me clean, beautiful and healthy air - not the same old climate change (global warming) bullshit! I am tired of hearing this nonsense." [Source]
During an interview with Hugh Hewitt on September 21st, 2015, Donald Trump explained:
"I mean, Obama thinks it’s the number one problem of the world today. And I think it’s very low on the list. So I am not a believer, and I will, unless somebody can prove something to me, I believe there’s weather. I believe there’s change, and I believe it goes up and it goes down, and it goes up again. And it changes depending on years and centuries, but I am not a believer, and we have much bigger problems." [Source]
In an interview on September 24th, 2015, Trump said simply:
"I don't believe in climate change." [Source]
And on December 30th, 2015, he explained to a crowd in South Carolina that:
"Obama's talking about all of this with the global warming and … a lot of it's a hoax. It's a hoax. I mean, it's a money-making industry, OK? It's a hoax, a lot of it." [Source]
Though, to be fair, on a January 18th 2016 episode of "Fox & Friends," Donald Trump did go on to explain that:
"I often joke that this is done for the benefit of China. Obviously, I joke." [Source]
This is not an exhaustive list.
Business Insider and PolitiFact both did excellent write-ups on Donald Trump's various stances on climate change. Whether Donald Trump meant what he said about climate change being a hoax, or whether he was just joking about it, is up for debate. Many people who have voted for Donald Trump believe that he is a climate denier, others think that he believes in climate change but that it isn't a problem worth addressing.
On the EPA, Donald Trump has vowed that he would deeply cut spending:
“No, I’m not cutting services, but I’m cutting spending. But I may cut Department of Education. I believe Common Core is a very bad thing. I believe that we should be — you know, educating our children from Iowa, from New Hampshire, from South Carolina, from California, from New York. I think that it should be local education, so the Department of Education is one, Environmental Protection, what they do is a disgrace. Every week they come out with new regulations. They — we'll be fine with the environment, we can leave a little bit, but you can't destroy businesses.” [Source]
Mr. Trump hasn't revealed what specific programs he would cut, but it bears mentioning that beyond action against climate change, the EPA is also responsible for: Enforcing policies such as the Clean Air and Clean Water Act, preventing and litigating the dumping of toxic waste, sponsoring research into environmental threats, educating the public on ways to reduce their environmental impact, and much more. Also of note is the fact that the Environmental Protection Agency was created by Republican President Richard Nixon, not important to the discussion, but an interesting bit of trivia.
So what's the worst that could happen? Worst case scenario: EPA funding is cut so deeply that the agency is unable to fulfill their responsibilities, potentially impacting the health of American citizens who breath air or drink water. Cuts could also result in staff reduction at the EPA, hindering their ability to enforce federal laws and regulations, and offering more opportunity for companies and individuals seeking to pollute or dump regulated toxic waste. Ultimately, however, any susscationn in the fight against climate change could have disastrous effects on not just the United States, but the planet as a whole. To echo the findings of a Department of Defense report:
Climate change is a security risk because it degrades living conditions, human security and the ability of governments to meet the basic needs of their populations. Communities and states that already are fragile and have limited resources are significantly more vulnerable to disruption and far less likely to respond effectively and be resilient to new challenges, they added. [Source]
Not only is climate change a risk to our planet, it also poses a direct risk to our national security. Failing to take action against climate change could have disastrous and far reaching consequences.

5: Donald Trump is a threat to gay rights.

This may come as a surprise to some, considering Trump's personal opinion on homosexuality is rather moderate, but what he's promised to do as President isn't moderate at all. Donald Trump is a supporter of "traditional" marriage, which is to say a marriage between one man and one woman (Previous two wives notwithstanding.) In regards to the recent Supreme Court ruling that same-sex marriage bans were discriminatory, and therefore unconstitutional, Mr. Trump had this to say:
“Frankly it should have been state – I was very much in favor of having the court rule that it goes to states, and let the states decide. It was a shocking decision for you and for me and for a lot of people. I was in favor of letting the states decide and that’s the way it looked like it was going, and then all of a sudden out of nowhere came this very massive decision and they took it away. I was always in favor of states rights, states deciding – on many issues, not just this.” [Source]
While that sounds very fair on paper, it certainly wouldn't be fair to the homosexual residents of many states. Rather than having a clear national policy on whether homosexuals could get married, we'd have a pock marked map of legality, where gays could get married in some states, and that marriage not be recognized, or legal, in others.
Based on current polling data, if states were given the right to define marriage, homosexuals in Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming could see one of their basic civil rights disappear. This is without consideration to states on the fringes of the issue, where the vote could easily swing one way or the other.
As President, Donald Trump would have the responsibility of appointing Supreme Court Justices, meaning that he may have the ability during his four or eight year term to nominate a Judge that would be willing to overturn the ruling on marriage equality. This is something that Mr. Trump is already considering:
Trump: “It has been ruled upon. It has been there. If I’m elected I would be very strong in putting certain judges on the bench that maybe could change things, but they have a long way to go. At some point we have to get back down to business. But there is no question about it. And most people feel this way. They have ruled on it. I wish it had done by the states. I don’t like the way they ruled. I disagree with the Supreme Court in that it should be a states’ rights issue.”
Wallace: “Are you saying that if you become President you might try to appoint justices to overrule the decision on same-sex marriage?”
Trump: “I would strongly consider that, yes.” [Source]
Donald Trump has also signaled support for the "First Amendment Defense Act," more commonly known as FADA, which would protect individuals like Kim Davis from federal prosecution for denying gay marriage licenses based upon personal religious beliefs. Passing FADA would mean that many counties with a limited number of clerks and judges could, in effect, prevent any gay marriages from occurring
“If Congress considers the First Amendment Defense Act a priority, then I will do all I can to make sure it comes to my desk for signatures and enactment,” [Source]
But Mr. Trump is okay with transgendered individuals using their respective bathrooms, so he's got that going for him, which is nice.
So what's the worst that could happen? Worst case scenario: Donald Trump nominates Supreme Court Justices that would be willing to overturn the recent ruling on gay marriage, and return the right to discriminate against individuals based upon their sexual identity to the States. He could also sign the First Amendment Defense Act into law, allowing state and federal employees to discriminate against individuals based upon their sexual identity without fear of legal repercussions. Rolling back the Supreme Court decision would put the United States back in the place it had been in 2015, effectively reenacting the gay marriage ban present in 13 states, and the passage of FADA could threaten gay marriage rights in the remaining 37 states.

Click here to view Part 2.

submitted by OneYearSteakDay to politics [link] [comments]

The Black Dog and the Burnt Church

The sky was stark cornflower blue, so pure it hurt my eyes. Perfect white clouds scampered low along the horizon and the grey asphalt switchbacked open and endless ahead of me.
I was somewhere in the American midwest, though more than that I couldn't tell you. For a year I’d slaved away unloading retail trucks by night to earn this respite and the lack of boundaries, stiff schedules and routines for the first time in my life mingled with the sleep deprivation and made the whole trip intoxicating. I might have been running parallel to Highway 83 at one point.
Occasionally I'd pull over and shut off the engine to take in the astounding view. It was a simple but incredible pleasure to remove my sweaty helmet and breathe deep the smells of grain and sunbaked earth mingled with the hot oil sting of my bike’s engine. Insects whined invisibly nearby but they never bothered me any. The open road was my Happy Place, the thing that had gotten me through the grind of minimum wage drudgery I’m managed to leave behind me, for a month at least.
I flattened some crispy grass to sit under the the shade of a billboard for a casino and munched on fresh apples picked at the last campsite. Supplies were running low. I intended to stock up at the next town but I'd just passed a warning that the next gas station would be the only one for a whole day’s drive. As to where I'd sleep? I figured I could pull off on a side road and find a place a pitched tent wouldn't bother anyone. A lot of it was government rather than private land, or so my (probably outdated) map told me.
You know that scene at the start of a hillbilly horror movie where the protagonist gasses up their vehicle while some ominous motherfucker with four teeth say something that foreshadows the coming bloodbath? Didn’t happen. It was two elderly obese women in flower print dresses and underarm pit stains the size of North Dakota. They were friendly but not overly talkative which was fine by me because muddling my way through their accents was a game I lost more often than won.
I topped up the gas tank and filled a red jerrycan which was then secured with bungee cords behind me. I had enough water, beef jerky and trail mix to carry me through the empty landscape until I reached some semblance of civilization. I set off under cerulean skies carefree and unaware.
Before I came out on this road trip I had been coming down on off a crisis of faith. I realized the religion I’d been raised in was about as genuine as a three dollar bill. Which, incidentally, the founder of the religion had printed at one point in history. For a while it sat heavy on me that this world was mundane and flat and empty but having left home I had encountered some things that challenged that new point of view. Not that I’d be running back to church. What I’d experienced was far wilder and larger than anything that could be stuffed into a chapel.
The zen-like lull of the road falling away under my front tire let my wandering mind turn these issues around and around and before I knew it night was falling.
I still hadn't spotted a sign for a campground but there had been a few for scenic turnouts and points of historical interest. Figuring tourism probably meant industry and maybe a motel (I was starting to stink) I picked an exit on a whim and followed it until I was thoroughly lost. With the sun hanging low and red on the horizon I started to feel the pressure from millennia of human instinct to find shelter. Those friendly white clouds had become heavy and fat with promises of a good prairie squall.
The road turned from smooth tarmac to crumbling ancient concrete to gravel to nothing at all and then I was at the end of it. I thought of turning around to find the highway again but a crack of thunder put the kibosh on that idea. The last thing I needed was some 18 wheeler taking me out because they couldn't see my silhouette through sheets of downpour.
At my wit’s end and the end of my headlights I caught the outline of a faraway structure I took to be a farmhouse of some kind. Hell I would have happily bedded down in a horse’s stall at that point.
Rain turned the grassland to thick mud that clung to my wheels and eventually forced me to hop off and start pushing. I kept my hand on the throttle to help heave through potholes that surged up out of the sudden dark. I hoped to whatever deities might be out there that the structure had a roof. It was becoming more and more clear that whatever I was headed for had been abandoned and perhaps rightfully so. In retrospect it should have been obvious how I was herded there, how the roads only led that way even when they had no right to.
As I got closer I could definitely tell there was some sort of animal standing right on my beeline to the building. Up north where I'm from we get jackrabbits the size of goats and for a dumb moment I thought that's what it was, eyes reflecting red in my headlight haze. It wasn't until the ears perked up that I could see it was a dog. Terrier sized but sleek like a Pincer and black as the night that was falling.
"Nice puppy. Who's a good boy?"
I murmured similar nonsense as I skirted around it. Never can tell with strange dogs. It's head followed me but it made no other movement so we passed each other in peace.
I didn't kick in the doors dramatically or anything. They were so rusted on their hinges it was a challenge just to shimmy though. My bike was hardly wider than myself and so it came inside with me. Turned out to be a good thing because my supposedly waterproof flashlight was not holding up and I needed the headlight to see what I was getting myself into.
It took me a moment to recognize the place for what it was. A church. Great, exactly what I didn't need. I doubted I would be offending anyone with my blasphemous thoughts because the building was obviously a wreck. Hardly holy anymore, except when it came to portions of the roof.
Feeling some sympathy for the dog outside I stuck my head back out and tried to see if it was still hanging around and might like a dry place to stay as much as I did but as far as I could tell it had taken off. I hoped it hadn't trotted off to go fetch an angry owner who'd wave a 'Trespassers Will Be Shot On Sight' sign before filling me with birdshot. Gotta love those signs. Who knew you could paint some letters on old wood and suddenly make murder legal in your yard?
The pews had been pushed aside to form a more open space. I brushed one with my fingertips and they came away black with charcoal. The place was like that in patches. It was clear there had been a fire. I could only hope it hadn't compromised things structurally. I removed my jacket and folded over a less charred pew. I rummaged around in my bag until I found a rag to dry my flashlight so I could shut off the moped and not die of carbon monoxide poisoning.
An artist had been there. Someone had used burnt pieces of whatever to draw things on the walls. Modern cave art. Above the door I came in there was a big black dog, appropriately enough. I poked around a bit more, excited by the thought that I might find some hobo signs.
The pictures on the wall were deliberately placed to tell a story. Corn in rows. A burning sun. A flock of crows. A well with a hunched figure beside it. The church. The outline of a woman with her arms held up to the sky.
That last one made me shiver. Or maybe it was the fact that I was soaking wet. There was a large rounded metal dish thing on the floor held the remains of what might have been a small campfire. Maybe that was how the church got scorched in the first place? I doubted it. The unvarnished floor underneath it was fresh and untouched. The dish slipped out of my hands and clanged jarringly loud, making me jump in my skin.
There was a room near the back that was like a separate apartment. Something about the burned bed gave me the willies so I only stayed long enough to grab a large glass lantern from the floor before shutting the door firmly. I retreated to the main chapel space and was delighted to find the lantern had a decent amount of oil and I lit it in short order. It wasn't a lot of heat but it was better than nothing. The flashlight got stowed to save battery power.
Somewhere outside a dog howled. I froze. The howl sounded like it came from an animal much bigger than the dog I'd seen outside. God, I hoped there wasn't a pack. My moped was blocking the door pretty effectively though and I hadn't seen a back door so there was no way something was getting in there with me.
The drawings on the walls were suddenly eerie in the flickering light of the flame. If I squinted my eyes the rows of corn appeared to sway as if in a breeze and the female figure danced. My throat went dry and my eyes watered until I tore my gaze away and shook my head. I felt eyes on me and looked around in alarm but of course I was alone. The place was messing with head.
There was a level enough place to lay out my sleeping bag and I quickly got into it. The lantern stayed burning and I intended to let it burn itself out. No way was I going to be in the dark in this place. I tucked my head in against the light and prepared to sleep.
I'd slept on far worse surfaces but something about that floor kept me tossing and turning. Nothing could make me comfortable. I gave up on actively trying to get to sleep and instead stared at the ceiling and tried to think about nothing. Wait, that was worse.
There were more drawings in the rafters. Things suddenly clicked in my head about the story they told. In spiralling rows from the bottom to the peak of the roof. The story as I understand it was this:
Once there had been an abundance of food. People celebrated and praised God in this church for their blessings. But then things changed when the blight came. People burned their crops, perhaps in hopes of a better harvest next year. But after the blight came the drought. The sun was merciless. People flocked to their church and begged with God to restore their bounty. People fell like flies and crows feasted on the fallen while their prayers went unanswered. Scorned by their God the people turned to another.
The Woman.
She was shown putting her hand on a kneeling figure. The figure and the crowd behind him went from skeletal to full. The crops grew in spite of the burning sun and dryness. When the corn was ripe it was harvested but as the people went to feast on it the husks were split open to reveal infants. The people chowed down anyway but soon became ashamed and turned on the Woman. They ran her down. They chased her to their church and when she took refuge there they could not get inside. So they set it ablaze. Made bone dry by the drought it burned well.
The final figure was that of the Woman surrounded by flames, open mouthed and screaming or maybe cursing her executors.
The whole thing made my stomach turn. I knew I couldn't stay. The rain didn't sound like it was going to let up but getting a little wet sounded like a better option that sleeping in this cursed place. I got up and repacked. The story on the walls might have been imaginative fiction from a passing traveler like myself but I sensed the essence of it was true.
I blinked and I was no longer alone.
There was no way that dog could have got in. When I swept the place it had not been inside but now, inexplicably, it was. The dog I'd met on the way in had been a manageable size. This thing was a hulking brute, the spitting image of a junkyard guardian. His head was lowered and fangs showed from behind his drawn back lips. The only thing missing were growls like a chainsaw but I had the feeling those would be coming shortly.
There were things at work here I could not understand. Reason had fled screaming leaving only deeply suppressed superstition at the wheel.
The dog began to pace back and forth across the floor from me. It was waiting for something to happen. Some direction from my hindbrain told me to raise my arms and I did until the figure of the Woman on the wall behind me might have been my shadow. The dog's ears perked up for a moment before flattening against his skull again. The growls began.
Possessed by either some unknown force or just a crazy idea I moved forward. I did not want to set the dog off but it was like I had no choice. My hands remained raised. Somehow the distance between us stretched puttylike to miles. I swear I walked for hours, the entire world falling away and becoming nothing but the charred stretch of floor between us. The light flickered strangely and compressed, illuminating nothing but the path.
I lowered my right hand and placed it on the dog's head. His entire body drooped like all the energy had gone out of him. There was a current running up my arm from him to me and it made me feel .. tall somehow. Stretched like a shadow under a setting sun. You know when you're falling asleep and your brain gets all confused about your proportions? It was a little like that. I didn't feel like myself. I would have never walked up to an angry dog. I would have never put my hand anywhere near it's mouth.
I was not in charge anymore. My right hand on the dog's head and my left reaching higher and higher. My bowed head weighed a thousand pounds. Moving it was too much effort. I was nine years old again, struggling to shake the anesthetics from having my appendix out. My body refused to obey my brain's orders and it was awfully tempting to just let things happen, to sink down inside myself to oblivion and let events unfold as they may. It would be so much easier to disappear. To just stop being.
I sensed something just beyond my fingertips. Curiosity may have killed the cat but it saved my life. I wrenched my eyes heavenward. Somehow I was only an arm's length from the ceiling. Moving my head up had been difficult enough - I couldn't risk looking down even though I still felt the floor under my feet. It wasn't like that part in Alice in Wonderland when she got stuck in the house by being a dumbass about the mushroom; I hadn't grown any larger. It was more like the space that should have separated the top of the building from the bottom had been removed. Bizarre doesn't begin to cover it.
The final figure of the Woman. That's what I was reaching for. Just millimeters from my hand. I fought for control to clench my fist but couldn't wrestle it away. I knew, I knew, that if I made contact I would be lost. I would cease to be anything. I would surrender to the weight that held me captive and let it have my bones. Wear my face and skin.
So close.
She was so focused on the hand. On that tiniest of gaps between her and I that she eased up on my feet. I kicked out blindly, hoping to hit the dog and have him balk and break our connection. Instead I hit glass. The lantern scooted out of range. I kicked harder, arced my foot wild. Contact. Oil pooled on to the wooden floor and quickly caught.
The dog yelped, jerked away, and I was myself again standing in the middle of a church that was about to burn for a second time. I could feel the heat around my legs but even more so from above, from Her rage. I didn't dare look up. I'm not sure what would have happened if I had but I'm pretty sure I wouldn't be here to tell this story.
I pulled my bike back from the door and kick cranked the engine to life. The doors wouldn't open. I slammed my shoulder against them again and again. It wasn't just the hinges - it was like something was pressing it from the other side. The Woman would burn again but she wanted me to go down in flames with her.
Fuck that noise. I swung my leg over the seat and jerked the bike around the other way. I was about to do something incredibly stupid that would either look really cool or kill me in the most idiotic way possible. I revved the engine as hard and fast as I could and took off, rolling aside at the last second.
Three hundred pounds of angry moped splintered the wood and careened off into the night.
Stunned, both literally and at the fact that that worked, I gasped on the floor and saw stars. My shoulder felt like I'd been tackled by a truck. I had to use my right arm to push myself, the left one none too happy about doing anything anytime soon. I made the mistake of looking back. Through the flames I saw
I saw
I saw
I saWI sawISAwIsawIsawsawIIsawwasISAWI I I I I
IT SAW ME
I tore my eyes away, stumbled outside weaving like a drunk. My moped had keeled over in the mud but the engine was still running. God bless Yamaha.
Fortunately the gears were automatic so my left arm could just hang around like the lazy bum it had become. I remounted the bike and peeled away. I didn't dare look back again, though I don't understand why I dreaded doing so. In the fields on either side of my I felt something running. Heavy paws splattering wet earth. Heavy breath panting clouds in pursuit.
I couldn't have been going much faster than a person can sprint but it must have been enough because whatever was chasing me fell behind. The light from the burning building may or may not have been the light that helped me find the highway again.
I drove all night, never once looking behind me or checking my mirrors which were so crooked and caked in mud they were useless anyway. I passed through a still-sleeping town. Stopped only long enough to empty the jerry can into my gas tank.
When the sun was high in the sky I checked into the first motel that caught my eye. After the world's longest shower I determined my arm had recovered enough that I wouldn't need to visit a hospital. I drank four glasses of water in quick succession and then promptly passed out on the lumpy bed.
I dreamed of fire and I haven't dreamed of anything else since.
submitted by atbest to nosleep [link] [comments]

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